.. title:: How humanity self-destructs by fueling a global avalanche of crises

***************
The Crisis
***************

Most of us alive today are arguably more likely to die in an **accidental nuclear
winter** than in a car crash --- and, unlike the doom-criers of every age, that
claim comes with a forecast you can :doc:`check for yourself </crisis/science>`.

Yes, talk of the end is as old as humanity, and fear-mongering abounds --- but
subjective fear is not the same as objective danger. What is new here is that the
dangers are now **global, self-inflicted, and measurable**, and that they are not
really one crisis but **one pattern**: the same broken way we make decisions
together keeps manufacturing fresh ways to end ourselves.

This section lays out the evidence, drawn from the work of a professional research
scientist --- Dr. Laurence Loewe
(`Google Scholar <https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=lBchRzQAAAAJ&hl=en>`__),
who set his career aside in 2020 to start a |wid-er| marathon asking whether
humanity can escape its own self-destruction. This marathon led him to set up Balospe.com in 2026.
The point is not to rehash the wider
literature (this
`collection of Wikipedia articles <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Existential_risk>`__
is a fine starting point). Balospe.com focuses on what research can do about 
these slow-motion exploding avalanches of disasters.


Five questions --- and where each is answered
=============================================

#. | **One crisis, or many --- and can the threats even be classified?**
   | → the :doc:`7DUIs </crisis/7dui>`, a classification of the seven recurring ones.
#. | **Can we put real numbers on the danger?**
   | → the :doc:`actuarial forecast </crisis/science>` of the waiting time to accidental nuclear winter.
#. | **Do ancient prophecies line up with the science?**
   | → :doc:`Prophecy </crisis/prophecy>` maps Revelation 16 onto the same seven threats.
#. | **Why do good people and good institutions keep doing this to themselves?**
   | → :doc:`The Silent Corruption </crisis/silent-corruption/index>`: the seven-stage slide nobody notices.
#. | **Is doom inevitable, or is there a way out?**
   | → it is *not* inevitable --- the :doc:`Jubilee System </jubileesystem/index>` is the proposed way out.


Among the seven, the fastest-moving accelerant is **AI**: it threatens direct
catastrophe *and* speeds up all the others by flooding the world with misaligned,
automated decisions. For a sober insider view, see
`Tristan Harris and the experts he interviews <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOAbvIKyKoQ>`__.

There are good mathematical reasons to expect that the world as we know it ---
humanity and life on Earth --- is bound to self-destruct in too many ways to
predict or prevent, **unless something fundamental changes**. This whole website
is dedicated to working out what that change would require. That is why LLoL calls
everyone who can to help directly or indirectly to #AuditTheMath. 

.. note::

   **No theology is required** to take any of this seriously --- the forecast and
   the classification stand on their own. If you also want the ancient-text lens
   (the route LLoL actually came in by), :doc:`Prophecy </crisis/prophecy>` maps
   it onto the science without asking you to believe anything first.


.. toctree::
   :hidden:

   science.rst
   Nuclear Winter Wager <wagers>
   7DUIs <7dui>
   prophecy.rst
   1600 Stadia <1600-stadia>
   silent-corruption/index


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   - :doc:`/crisis/science` and :doc:`/crisis/prophecy`
   - :doc:`The 7DUIs </crisis/7dui>`
   - :doc:`The Jubilee System </jubileesystem/index>`
   - :doc:`Buy in to fund the review </buy-in/index>`


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